Wealth-Less Effect: Earning Well, Feeling Otherwise

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by Gary Fields

Proposed Tax Increases on Six-Figure Earners Highlight Mounting Costs of Living -- and the Relativity of Prosperity

Ellen Parnell and her husband, Donald Parnell Jr., seem like the kind of well-off couple President Barack Obama has in mind when he suggests raising taxes on families earning more than $250,000 a year. A surgeon at Fort Sanders Sevier Medical Center in Sevierville, Tenn., he drives an Infiniti. They vacation at a beach resort every year.

Yet, right now he is working seven days a week. The car is more than a decade old, the vacation home in Sandestin, Fla., comes at a moderate weekly rate because members of Ms. Parnell's extended family own it. Her family of five would like more room than they have in their 2,500-square-foot home, yet they can't afford anything larger. The downturn has them skittish about paying for renovations.

"I'm not complaining, but the reality is Obama may call me wealthy, but I thought we were just good old middle class," says Ms. Parnell. "Our needs are being met, but we don't have a load of cash to cover wants."

It is a tricky situation in which some Americans find themselves after a long boom: They are by no means struggling, compared with the 98% of Americans who make far less, but depending on where they live and the lifestyle choices they have made, they don't necessarily feel rich, either. Worse, in their view, they are facing the same tax rates as those making millions. Some of the expenses are self-inflicted -- like private-school costs and conspicuous consumption. Others, though, are unavoidable, like child-care costs, larger health-care deductibles and education expenses, especially college.

Under Mr. Obama's budget proposal, two of the highest tax brackets would see rates rise, and deductions would be reduced for households earning more than $250,000 annually. President Obama said Wednesday, "We've made a clear promise that families that earn less than $250,000 will not see their taxes increase by a single dime."

By any statistical measure, that income level is at the top of the bracket. But for those closest to the line, the money might be less a sign of affluence than it is of the industry of dual-income couples. It is possible, say observers, that veteran civil servants could fall into the higher tax bracket.

The political calculation is dicey. The White House needs the additional revenue to cover some of its ambitious policy agenda, especially a health-care revamp. But some polling data suggest households that earn above $200,000 went heavily for Mr. Obama in November.

Until more details of the tax changes are disclosed, it is unclear whether people making big six-figure sums will be affected at all. They may, for example, be able to avoid tax increases if any number of deductions pull them below the threshold. But that isn't stopping those who earn near the threshold from worrying about it.

Already, many members of Congress are seeking to scale back some of the proposed tax increases, which call for raising the top federal tax rates to 36% from 33% on households earning $250,000 or above.

Wealth and comfort "depends on where you're coming from," said Lois Avitt, a sociologist and founding director of the Institute for Socio-Financial Studies in Charlottesville, Va. To a family earning $50,000, $250,000 is well off, but for the family earning $250,000, rising college and medical costs and dropping home values make the perception debatable.

The reasons for the insecurity are that net worth is declining at the same time that expenses like education and health care, two of the biggest concerns cited by members of that income group, are going up faster than wages and income, says Heidi Shierholz, an economist at the Economic Policy Institute in Washington. "Those are the biggies. They are huge parts of the set of middle-class aspirations, and the prices of those have increased way faster than income." The bursting of the housing bubble makes that more stark.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, says data show that over the last 10 years, education costs have risen 5.91% annually, and health- care expenses have gone up 4.16% annually, while wages and income have risen only 3.7% over the same time span. That means many families are seeing a greater percentage of their income going toward those two areas.

Education costs, which are far outstripping wages and income, are especially worrisome for this income bracket because upper-income earners are much less likely to receive the kind of financial aid that lower income levels can expect.

The drop in net worth has been staggering. The Federal Reserve, in a recent report, found that U.S. households' net worth dropped by $11 trillion, a decline of nearly 18%, during 2008. That wealth includes everything from home values to mutual funds and life insurance, college and pension funds. The decline equaled the combined output of Germany, Japan and the U.K.

Changes to the tax code don't generally make adjustments for high costs of living in particular areas of the country.

San Jose, Calif., Mayor Chuck Reed calls a family living in Silicon Valley earning $250,000 "upper working class." That is about what two engineers working at a technology firm can expect to make, but "a family earning $250,000 a year can't buy a home in Silicon Valley," he said.

James Duran owns a human-resources company in Silicon Valley and is president of the Hispanic Chamber of Commerce in California. He supported Mr. Obama, but is worried about the tax proposals. He has laid off some employees in recent months and has been wondering how he can fund an extension of those workers' health-care benefits.

Mr. Duran said he and his wife earn about $400,000 annually, but "I'm barely getting by." They have high property and state taxes, as well as college tuition and savings to cover. "I'm an Obama man, but this side of him is a difficult pill for me," he said.

Van Moore, an optometrist in Sevierville, makes just enough in his practice that he worries he might qualify for the tax increase. Mr. Moore said he was contemplating adding two staff workers and another doctor to his practice, but then the economy went soft. In the years after he finished optometry school, his first job brought in less than $20,000 a year. Then he made $50,000 for several years, all the while dealing with his $150,000 student-loan debt, which he still has. Now he is making just above $250,000.

"I'm not in a mobile home with no utilities or running water and holes in the floor," he said. "I'm not poor, but I'm not rich."

For the Parnells, their perception of themselves is based on the math. The value of their house is down $60,000. Ms. Parnell says the couple's gross income last year was about $260,000. Taxes, premiums for medical care and deductions for Social Security and their 401(k) contributions cut the gross to about $12,000 per month. The family tithes $1,300 a month at their church. Their mortgage, second mortgage and payment on land they bought is nearly $4,000 a month. Other expenses, including their family car payment, insurance and college funds, as well as basics like food, utilities and donations to charities, leave them with about $1,200 left over each month.

"I'm not after sympathy. We are blessed. What I want is a reality check on what rich means," Ms. Parnell says. "I can pay my mortgage and I can buy some clothes. I'm not going without, but I'm not living a life of luxury."

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AP sources: Sun deal cloudy after IBM pulls offer

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BOSTON – IBM Corp. withdrew its offer to buy Sun Microsystems Inc. for about $7 billion this weekend, clouding the prospects for a deal that would have shaken up the computing industry, The Associated Press has learned.

Talks were in their final stages in recent days, but IBM took its offer off the table after Sun terminated IBM's status as its exclusive negotiating partner, according to two people familiar with the situation, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to disclose the negotiations.

One of these people said the two sides were still meeting Sunday.

Armonk, N.Y.-based IBM was believed to be offering about $9.50 per share for Sun. That was about double the price the Santa Clara, Calif.-based server and software maker was trading for when the discussions leaked last month. Sun shares closed Friday at $8.49.

Sun was one of the darlings of the dot-com era but spent most of this decade struggling to find its place, wrestling with huge losses and thousands of layoffs. As a result many analysts were not surprised Sun and IBM were in talks.

Sun still owns key server and business-software technologies that might fit in IBM's product and services lineup. But a deal likely would face antitrust questions, and in addition to haggling over price, Sun has been pushing IBM to make certain commitments to seeing the deal through such scrutiny.

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Asian stock markets extend gains after G-20 pledge

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Asian markets rise as G-20 pledge and China factory growth buoys optimism, but gains limited

HONG KONG (AP) -- Asian stock markets climbed Friday after the world's major powers pledged more than $1 trillion to combat the global economic crisis and China's hard-hit factories showed signs of new life.

But gains were somewhat subdued as caution began to set in after a spectacular rally that's lifted leading markets from Japan to New York by double-digit percentages in recent weeks.

The latest catalyst came Thursday as the Group of 20 industrial and developing nations promised $1.1 trillion to the International Monetary Fund and other development bodies to lend to less well-off countries reeling from the global economic turmoil. They also vowed new efforts to clean up banks' tattered balance sheets, shut down tax havens and tighten financial regulations.

Investors, their expectations for any meaningful progress low, cheered the moves -- the latest as governments everywhere bring unprecedented resources to bear against the worst economic slump since the Great Depression.

"There was a fear at the G-20 was going to turn out to be damp squid and it appears instead there was some unity and progress," said Miles Remington, head of Asian sales trading at BNP Paribas Securities in Hong Kong.

Also boosting sentiment were new figures showing Chinese manufacturing expanded slightly in March for the first time in six months. The data supported hopes the Chinese economy -- the world's third-largest and a key source of demand for other Asian countries -- is nearing a bottom.

Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average added 30.06 points, or 0.3 percent, to 8,749.84, but traded well off its highs. Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbed 73.79, or 0.5 percent, to 14,595.76. South Korea's Kospi rose 0.5 percent to 1,283.75.

Elsewhere, Shanghai's key index edged up about 0.6 percent. Stock measures in Australia and Taiwan gained over 1 percent.

Carmakers continued to race ahead, with Toyota Motor jumping 7 percent and Nissan Motor up 6.2 percent. Resource firms like Australia mining heavyweight BHP Billiton Ltd., up 3.7 percent, also struck gold.

Overnight in New York, Wall Street's buying spree showed no signs of slowing as investors took comfort in an accounting rule change that will help banks pare their massive losses on bad assets.

Sentiment got a further boost from still more positive U.S. economic data, this time highlighting a large increase in factory orders in February. That followed better-than-expected readings on pending home sales, manufacturing activity and auto sales the day before.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 216.48, or 2.8 percent, to close at 7,978.08, posting its best four weeks since 1933. Broader market indicators also rose sharply, with the Standard & Poor's 500 index up 23.30, or 2.9 percent, to 834.38.

But Wall Street futures were slightly lower, suggesting U.S. markets might give back some of their gains. Dow futures fell 26 points, or 0.3 percent, to 7,932 and S&P500 futures shed 3.2 points, or 0.4 percent, to 832.30.

Oil slipped below $52 a barrel Friday in Asia after surging overnight on investor optimism crude demand will soon rebound if the U.S. recession has bottomed. Benchmark crude for May delivery fell 68 cents to $51.96. The contract rose $4.25 overnight to settle at $52.64.

In currencies, the dollar slipped to 99.57 yen from 99.79 yen. The euro was lower at $1.3429 from $1.3461, after the European Central Bank cut its benchmark interest rate by a less-than-expected quarter of a percentage point to 1.25 percent, a record low.

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Wall Street opens 2nd quarter with a gain

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Stocks rise on positive housing, manufacturing data; Dow gains 153

NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street opened the second quarter with solid gains, extending a four-week rally that brought the market off its lowest levels in 12 years.

After falling in the early going Wednesday on disappointing jobs data, the Dow Jones industrials closed up 153 points on economic data that showed a rebound in pending home sales and improving manufacturing activity. Major indexes all rose at least 1.5 percent.

The reports continued a run of positive economic news in recent weeks that has led many investors to wager that the recession is beginning to ease. Further signs of improvement in housing were especially positive for banks struggling with bad mortgage debt.

Technology and energy shares also carved out advances. As sentiment about the economy improves, investors have been buying up industries they believe are likely to lead the country out of recession.

The Dow charged ahead in March, rising 16 percent off of 12-year lows hit early in the month, but its movements over the first three months of the year were among the most tumultuous on record. Only three other times in the Dow's history has it experienced 20 percent swings in both directions in one quarter.

Despite the strong gains in March, analysts are still warning against calling a bottom to the market and say more volatility could be in store.

"People seem to swing from one side to the other of 'the recovery has started' to 'the world is ending again,'" said Bill Stone, chief investment strategist at PNC Wealth Management.

The Dow rose 152.68, or 2 percent, to 7,761.60, and broader market indicators also rose. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 13.21, or 1.7 percent, to 811.08, and the Nasdaq composite index gained 23.01, or 1.5 percent, to 1,551.60.

Pending home sales rebounded in February from a record low, the National Association of Realtors reported, while the Institute for Supply Management's index of manufacturing activity contracted in March but by a bit less than anticipated.

"It's hard to call it good data in a normal environment but it certainly looks like some of the ... housing activity has at least stabilized," said Stephen Massocca, managing director at Wedbush, Morgan Securities. "That's helping the market quite a bit here."

Not all of the reports came as a relief. The ADP National Employment Report said private sector employment dropped by 742,000 in March. The figure was higher than anticipated, and a rattling sign ahead of the Labor Department's Friday report on nationwide job cuts last month.

The market's advance occurred as the world's finance ministers gathered in London to discuss the slumping global economy. Speculation has risen in recent days that the various countries in the Group of 20 are disagreeing about how to handle the global financial crisis. Amid the backdrop of thousands of protesters, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said Wednesday that the G20 was close to agreeing on global reforms for the financial system.

This week so far has been volatile, with the Dow gaining 87 points on Tuesday after plunging Monday by 254 points on President Barack Obama's rejection of General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC's restructuring plans.

Analysts expect that pattern to continue in coming weeks as uncertainty about first quarter earnings reports remains. "We're in a wait-and-see mode," said Brian Bush, director of equity research at Stephens Inc.

Analysts largely expect the reports to be negative, but with the bar already set so low, it's possible the market could move higher if the reports meet or exceed forecasts.

Among the big gainers in the banking industry, Citigroup Inc. added 15 cents, or 5.9 percent, to $2.68, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. gained $1.56, or 5.9 percent, to $28.14.

Hope for an easing of certain accounting rules this week is also helping banks. "Mark-to-market" rules, which require banks to value assets based on current market conditions, have hampered banks with massive write-downs in recent quarters, and proponents of a change say it could banks boost their bottom lines.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 6.41, or 1.5 percent, to 429.16.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by more than 3 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 5.9 billion shares, essentially flat with Tuesday.

Bond prices were little changed. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 2.66 percent from 2.67 percent late Tuesday. The yield on the three-month T-bill rose slightly to 0.21 percent from 0.20 percent Tuesday.

Crude oil fell $1.27 to settle at $48.39 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies. Gold prices rose.

Overseas, Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.8 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 1.1 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 1.2 percent. Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 3 percent.

READ MORE - Wall Street opens 2nd quarter with a gain

Best Places for Business and Careers

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Raleigh, N.C., and its fellow Tar Heel metros shine in our annual look at America's largest cities.

The economy shed 651,000 jobs in February and 4.4 million since the recession began in December 2007. Only a handful of metro areas have escaped falling employment over the past three months. Yet there are still some places out there that remain attractive to businesses.

Our 11th annual ranking of the Best Places for Business and Careers features clear winners in North Carolina and Colorado, home to a combined 10 of the 20 top metro areas.

Leading the way is Raleigh, N.C., which grabbed the top spot for a third straight year on the strength of strong job growth (both past and projected), low business costs and a highly educated workforce.

In Depth: Best Places for Business and CareersbestBiz.jpg

Employment is expected to fall during 2009 in Raleigh after jobs were added at a 4% annual clip the past five years. But the job picture is expected to brighten in 2010 and 2011, and the three-year projected annual employment gain is 1.4%. according to Moody's Economy.com, 15th best in the country.

Helping fuel Raleigh's strong economy is the Research Triangle Park, one of the oldest and largest science parks in North America. It is located between Raleigh and Durham and is home to 170 companies employing 42,000 people. Big employers include Biogen Idec, Cisco Systems and IBM.

"Raleigh is holding up better than any other place in North Carolina," says Matthew Martin, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Va. He cites the significant higher education presence and low manufacturing base in the area for Raleigh's steady economy.

Keeping Raleigh company at the top are fellow Tar Heel State metros Durham (ranked third), Asheville (sixth), Wilmington (13th), Winston-Salem (18th) and Charlotte (19th).

Our rankings looked at the 200 largest metropolitan areas in the U.S., which range from the New York metro and its 11.7 million people to Olympia, Wash., with a population of 241,000. We examined each on 11 different criteria. Economic research firm Moody's Economy.com supplied data on job growth over the past five years and projections through 2011. Economy.com also provided business and living cost data as well as income growth and migration trends.

We also turned to Bert T. Sperling, city researcher and co-author of Cities Ranked & Rated for some labor supply and quality of life information. Sperling furnished data on college attainment, crime rates, local colleges and cultural and recreational opportunities in the area.

In a nod to the current economic climate, we added two new categories this year: projected job growth and subprime mortgages as a percentage of total originations over a three-year period. This change helped boost several metros in the rankings, most notably Austin, Texas, which ranked eighth this year, up from 47th last year. Austin's projected annual job growth rate of 2.3% is fifth fastest in the country, and its subprime mortgage exposure clocked in at 13th.

The city has a fan in the Charles Schwab Corporation. "The city of Austin is extremely business-friendly. They have bent over backwards to accommodate us," says Glenn Cooper, head of real estate at Schwab, which expanded its Austin presence in 2007 when it purchased the 401(k) Co. Cooper highlights the political environment, culture and cost of living as draws for Schwab to Austin.

Bringing up the rear of our rankings are the troubled spots in California. The Golden State had its worst showing ever in our tally. It is home to six of the seven lowest-rated spots, and Riverside was the only one of its 21 metro areas (among the country's 200 biggest) that cracked the top 100. Most California metros are burdened with sky-high living and business costs, and the job outlook is week. The unemployment rate in 199th-ranked Merced, Calif., is expected to hit 21% in 2010.

The current recession is too deep and widespread for even our best-rated cities to escape damage. Yet when things do turn around, expect many places ranked at the top to be at the head of the pack, notes Marisa Di Natale, an economist at Economy.com.

"Austin, Boulder [Colo.], Fort Collins [Colo.] and to a lesser extent Raleigh all have a lot of high-tech investment," she says. "We think that is one of the first things that comes back once the economy does recover."

Top 5 Best Places

1. Raleigh, NC
Metro Area Population: 1,086,000

2. Fort Collins, CO
Metro Area Population: 292,000

3. Durham, NC
Metro Area Population: 487,000

4. Fayetteville, AR
Metro Area Population: 442,000

5. Lincoln, NE
Metro Area Population: 296,000

Click here for the full list of the Best Places for Business and Careers.

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USA Economy, American Economic Profile, Economy of the United States of America

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The largest and still the most important market in the world, the United States of America’s economy is driven by consumers but is troubled by high debt levels.

The United States of America (US or USA) has the world’s largest economy. According to the CIA World Factbook, 2007 GDP is believed to be $13.84 trillion. This is three times the size of the next largest economy, Japan, which has a GDP of $4.4 trillion. US dominance has been eroded however by the creation of the European Union common market, which has an equivalent GDP of over $13 trillion, and by the rapid growth of the BRIC economies, in particular China, which is forecast to overtake the US in size within 30 years.

The recent failure in the US housing and credit markets have resulted in a slowdown in the US economy. 2007 GDP growth was estimated at 2.2% but in 2008 it is projected to be just 0.9%, down from the 10-year average of 2.8% (see chart at end of article).

In common with most developed countries, Services is the key sector of the economy. In 2007, services made up 78.5% of GDP, industry 20.5% and agriculture less than 1%.

Around two-thirds of the total production of the country is driven by personal consumption. Although the US is often referred to as a free market economy, this is not entirely true, since there are government regulations protecting certain sectors, notably energy and agriculture. It can be more accurately described as a ‘consumer economy’.

Since the US economy is also the largest economy in the world, and the US consumer drives two thirds of the US economy, the US consumer is also a big driver of global economic activity.

The forces of supply and demand directly drive the price levels of goods and services. What to produce, and how much of it is to be produced depends on the price level fixed by the interaction of supply and demand.

The role of government in the US economy is crucial when it comes to decision-making regarding monetary and fiscal policies. The federal government takes all the necessary initiatives to ensure the growth and stability of the United States.

The US government makes full use of economic tools such as money supply, tax rates, and credit control, among other things, to adjust the rate of economic growth. For the most part, the US Federal Government also regulates the operations of private business concerns in order to prevent monopolies.

The government renders a number of direct services in the form of providing support for national defense, monetary aid for research and development programs, and funds for highway construction & infrastructure in general.

The question of national debt is a controversial one within the US. At the start of 2008, the US federal debt stood at $9.2 trillion. This is a worrying 67% of GDP and equates to $79,000 for each American taxpayer, a number just over 117 million people. To add to the concern, American consumers are also increasingly dependent on debt and have been re-mortgaging their houses to higher loan amounts, and using the extra cash to fund high street purchases.

This debt figure is the largest in the world in absolute terms, but as a percentage of GDP it is less than Japan and similar to several European countries.

Most of the debt is funded by central banks and sovereign wealth funds from Asia, Europe and the Middle East.

G7, G8, G20
The US is part of the G-7, Group of Seven, G-8, Group of Eight, and G-20, Group of Twenty.

The trend of the real GDP growth rate of the US economy is shown in the following graph. GDP growth rate of the US

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Global Economy, International Economic Profile, The World's Largest Economies

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The world economy grew 5.2% in 2007 powered by growth in China (11%), India (9%) and Russia (8%). The global economy faces a real risk of 1970s style stagflation however, with resource constraints tighter than ever before.

Things could scarcely have looked rosier for the world economy at the start of 2007. The Emerging Markets, led by the giants of China, India, Russia and Brazil (the BRIC countries) had been posting 7%-10% grow rates for years. Property and stock market booms had brought consistent growth in North America and Europe. Investment was bringing economic development to much of the Middle East and Africa, and even Japan was recovering from its deflationary ‘Lost Years’.

Economic conditions within these countries play a major role in setting the economic atmosphere of less well-to-do nations and their economies. In many aspects, developing and less developed economies depend on the developed countries for their economic wellbeing.

Theories were even circulating that thanks to the growth of the developing world, we might enjoy years of unfettered growth, as new markets would go through successive growth spurts and counter the effects of slowing growth elsewhere. It was suggested that Asia was ‘decoupling’ from the US and able to grow under its own steam thanks to its two ‘Awakening Giants’.

What a difference a year makes.

The global economy has been hit by a rapid one-two punch that may be setting the stage for stagflation to make a come-back.

It started with the sub-prime crisis in the US, caused by loans to risky or ‘sub-prime’ mortgagees who did not have strong credit histories. While house prices were rising there wasn’t a problem. But as house prices slowed and then crashed to earth, default rates started to rise.

To add fuel to the fire, sub-prime loans had been packaged and re-packaged in a range of derivative financial instruments such as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs). It was not always clear what the contents CDOs consisted of, as they were combined, sliced and re-sold between financial institutions and funds, and which in some cases allowed risky debt such as sub-prime loans to be packaged as part of low-risk instruments.

Vast swathes of CDO investments had to be written off, and banks became suspicious of investment, borrowing and lending, since it was not always clear what the underlying security was. Once banks stopped lending the Credit Crunch hit.

We then witnessed extraordinary scenes of government regulators in US and UK having to help save collapsing banks in order to avert a meltdown of the financial system, and to Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) from the developing world taking large stakes in venerable western banks like Citibank and UBS in return for keeping them liquid.

With house prices having fallen more than 20% in many areas of the United States, even prime mortgage holders now find themselves with negative equity. The federal government has been forced to step in and assume responsibility for both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, who between them back over half of all American mortgages.

World Map Showing Nominal and Purchasing Power Parity GDP, 2007 estimates from CIA World Factbook

The second part of the one-two punch has involved the rise of commodity prices. Just before the dawn of the 21st century, oil average $16 a barrel. By July 2008, less than 10 years later, oil hit a high of $146 a barrel – a stunning rise of more than 800%. From early 2007 to mid 2008 alone the price has risen more than threefold from the mid $40s.

During the Oil Crisis of the 1970s, oil spiked at a nominal peak of $38. In today̢۪s prices (adjusted for inflation), that is $106, a figure that we blew past in early 2008.

The price of food has also started spiraling. Rice and other grain prices have doubled from 2007 - 2008, leading to food riots in a score of developing markets. Most agricultural and farm produce prices have been going through the roof. In fact almost all commodities, including those used for energy, construction and consumption, have been rising rapidly.

Price rises have been fueled by the demands of the emerging markets, particularly the BRIC nations, who together account for nearly 3 billion people. In order to maintain their high rates of growth and help lift more of their populace out of poverty, they require more and more commodities.

A bigger worry for economists, however, is whether the natural resources exist to meet these burgeoning demands.

A similar crisis was faced in the 1970s. After a period of strong global economic growth, when the world economy was averaging 5% a year GDP increases, the world hit supply constraints in oil and food. For the next fifteen years, global GDP growth slowed to an average of 3.2% per year.

This became known as the stagflation era. Growth opportunities were limited, but prices continued to rise with a continued lack of supply.

A great debate ensued as to whether we had reached the limits of the earth̢۪s ability to support our growth. In 1972 the Club of Rome famously argued exactly that, saying that the global economy would collapse.

And yet the opposite happened. According to Jeffrey D. Sachs, Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, world crude oil production grew from 21 million barrels per day in 1960 to 56 mbd in 1973, a growth of 166%. The stagflation crisis also brought about a ‘Green Revolution’ through fertilizer and irrigation development, and through the development of stronger seed strains. This led to much higher agricultural productivity levels.

Since 1970 however, crude oil production has only grown 30% worldwide. More worrying still is that crude oil production in the Middle East has peaked at 21 mbd in 1974 and remained stagnant, while mature fields in the North Sea, Norway and Alaska are all in decline.

In fact there is a growing school of thought known as ‘Peak Oil’ that believes we have – or will soon – reach peak oil production capabilities. In the 1950s Dr M. King Hubbert correctly predicted peak oil and decline rates for the mainland US oil industry. His model came to be known as The Hubbert Peak Theory. It predicts that world peak oil production will be reached sometime between 2000 and 2010, and will decline thereafter.

This impending crisis has also helped to raise the price of food, since increasing amounts of land are being devoted to biodiesel crop development, and since higher oil prices raise the cost of fertilizer (for which petroleum is a key ingredient) and food transportation.

It seems increasingly likely that a massive investment in renewable energy sources will be needed in order to avert another stagflationary period in the world economy, or even a global recession. The jury is still out as to how quickly oil supplies will decline or how fast alternative energy sources can be brought online.

World Economic Statistics at a Glance

World GDP (PPP): $65 trillion
GDP Growth Rate: 5.2%
Growth Rate of Industrial Production: 5%
GDP By Sector: Services- 64% Industry- 32% Agriculture- 4%
GDP Per Capita (PPP): $9,774
Population: 6.65 billion
The Poor (Income below $2 per day): 3.25 billion (approximately 50%)
Millionaires: 9 million (approximately 0.15%)
Labor Force: 3.13 billion
Exports: $13.87 trillion
Imports: $13.81 trillion
Inflation Rate – Developed Countries: 1% - 4%
Inflation Rate – Developing Countries: 5% - 20%
Unemployment – Developed Countries: 4% - 12%
Unemployment & Underemployment - Developing Countries: 20% - 40%

Sources: CIA World Factbook, IMF, UNDP
READ MORE - Global Economy, International Economic Profile, The World's Largest Economies

Indonesia Economy

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DEMOGRAPHY AND SOCIAL INDICATORS Indonesia is ranked 4th in the world in terms of population with 238.453 million people residing there in mid 2004. According to data obtained from World Bank Indicators, national growth rate in Indonesia during 1997-2003 was 1.3 %, more than world average of 1%.
Indonesia is moderately populated with 126 persons living per sq km in 2004. Only 43% of the people live in urban areas life expectancy at birth in Indonesia is 66 years, according to (1997-2003) World Bank figures.
According to world bank estimates, during 1997-2003, 17 % of Indonesia's population lives below national poverty line (The level of annual income below which a household is defined to be living in poverty. Different governments and institutions define this differently). Infant mortality rate, which measures deaths per 1000 children born, is 42 in Indonesia.
Gross primary enrollment, which denotes the percent of school-age population, is 111, with 112 for male and 110 for female population. 76 % of the population has access to safe drinking water. Adult Literacy rate is 88%. Indonesia is ranked 111 in 177 countries of the world in terms of human development index.
Indonesia's labour force growth rate of 1.2 % in last six years was close to that of the other East Asia-pacific countries' where workforce has grown at a rate of 1.1% during these years

KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS

GDP in US $ Billion
Indonesia is characterized among the lower middle-income countries of the world. Total gross national income in 2003 was $ 172733 million. Per capita income was $ 810, however, in terms of purchasing power parity Indonesia 's per capita GNI was $ 3210 in 2003. The growth rate of GDP was 4.1% in 2003 and is predicted to be around 4.5% in the coming 2-3 years. Unemployment rate was estimated to be 8.7% in 2004. G20
Indonesia is part of the G-20, Group of Twenty.
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Effect of the Global Credit Crunch on Market

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There have been far reaching effects on the global financial crunch on the market. The monetary policy has been very much lenient in the past resulting in a credit bubble. It is feared that the burst of this bubble would lead to a reiteration of the Great Depression of the 1930s at the global level.

The Bank for International Settlements , the esteemed financial institution of the world has cited the following reasons behind this global financial crunch:
1. Issue of new varieties of credit instruments at a mass scale.
2. Increasing household debts
3. Increase in the risk loving attitude depicted in the investors
4. Asymmetries in the currency system of the world

The Bank for International Settlements has also explained the role of China in contributing in the global financial crunch. According to BIS the Chinese economy is characterised by the following aspects: 1. Asset boom
2. Huge investments in the heavy industries sector.
More than 40% of the industries in China are loss making units and due to this the banking sector has accumulating Non Performing Assets .

Most countries are in favour of the building asset bubble since according to them they can be “cleaned up” in the future. The failure of this approach is evident from the Great Depression that followed in US in the 1930s and the situation faced by Japan in 1991. The debt and the huge investments that are accumulated during the boom years would have negative effects on the economy when the recession sets in.

The figures given in the following table indicate the vulnerable financial position of US .

Table 1. Figures Depicting Credit Crunch of US

Parameters

Statistics

Current Account Deficit

6.5% of GDP

External Liabilities

$4 trillion from 2001 to 2005

Issue of CDOs

$470

Issue of Synthetic CDOs

$524

The above figures indicate a highly unbalanced US economy. Again with the issue of Collateralized Debt Obligations the lending spree had increased. Borrowers could obtain Mortgage credit at easy terms.

Given the present situation, any time the credit cycle can reverse and the situation like the dotcom bust can arise.

A solution to the problem of global credit crunch is a cut in the rate of interest but this would only lead to wealth transfer from the creditor to the borrower. This could lead to a more vulnerable situation in the future.
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Economy Today

10:57 AM Diposkan oleh arfa

The Economy Today may appear to be improving statistically with a gradual increase in employment and salaries, gross domestic product. However the popular belief is that global economic conditions are only becoming worse.

Economy Today : Economic Indicators

The basic Economic Indicators that reflect Economy Today are :

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) - the total market value of every finished product, whether commodities or services, produced within a country in a specific time period (usually a fiscal year) taken together.

Gross National Product (GNP) - the total market value of all finished commodities and services, produced by the production factors of a country and then disposed off through sales within a particular time period. The outputs from outsourcing of production all add to the GNP of a nation.

Per Capita Income - the total earnings of a country through all means of production in a given time period, divided by the population of that country.

The above are basically used to compare the general economic condition of a population to those of other nations.

World GDP in Economy Today

The Gross Domestic Product of an economy is computed by adding the following :

private consumption in the economy

investments in business capital

total government expenditures on finished goods and services

Net exports of the economy which implies gross imports deducted from the gross exports.

With the gross world product closing in on the $50 trillion mark, as reported by the IMF, the following countries lead in terms of GDP (in trillions of USD) :

U.S.A. close to 13.25

Japan around 4.5

Germany about 3.0

China near 2.75

U.K. around 2.5

Economy Today : Role of Global Organizations

The World Bank consisting of the IBRD and the IDA basically deal with developing nations and are concerned with :

human development

rural development

land and agriculture

protecting the environment from all kinds of adversities

infrastructure which means the basic facilities and capital equipments required for the proper functioning of a nation

proper and corruption-free administration.

The IMF or the International Monetary Fund looks after the financial scenario of the world by monitoring the following :

exchange rates

balance of payments of nations.

At the same time the IMF also provides financial and technical assistance.

World GDP in Economy Today

The industrialization of traditional economy through modern technical inventions has resulted in a gradual increase in the real growth of World GDP over the years.

World GDP - Real Growth Rate (percentage change) over a few previous years was as follows :

2003 - 3.8% (40.7)

2004 - 4.9% (29.0)

2005 - 4.7% (-4.1)

2006 - 5.1% (08.5)

In 2006, among the countries Azerbaijan stood first in the growth rate of GDP with 32.5 percent, whereas Lebanon with a negative growth rate of -5.0 percent lag at the end of the list.

Economy Today : Inflation

The increase in prices as calculated against a set criterion of purchasing power of the population in a country may be described as Inflation.

It is mainly calculated through :

CPIs or Consumer Price Indexes which takes into account the prices of goods purchased by consumers.

GDP Deflator which considers the prices of goods produced.

Inflation applies a lot of pressure on people in Economy Today, which are basically faced by :

people on fixed income
the industrial sector (production) international trade and commerce (exports)

export and Import : Economy Today

Transfer of commodities and services from one country to another in lieu of liquid assets (cash etc.) constitutes international trade and this forms a large section of GDP of a nation.

In the case of most nations, gross exports always exceeds gross imports.

The general trend is that the technologically advanced developed nations account for the largest share of World exports but of recent developing nations like China and India are becoming increasingly major exporters in the World scenario. The export growth rate of the world during fiscal 2004 was around 22 percent, a large increase from about 6.0 percent in 2003.

In the last fiscal (2006) imports increased significantly in comparison to earlier years but nonetheless it could not exceed the slowing exports.

READ MORE - Economy Today

From command economies to traditional, barter, bubble and service economies, this section details numerous topics relative to various types of economi

5:48 PM Diposkan oleh arfa

This section has been designed to provide background information about different aspects of various economics.

This section includes articles related to different types of economic systems, as well as a number of contemporary issues influencing the world economy, the distribution of economic powers, the issue of globalization, and other topics of interest.

While different types of economies prevail in certain regions of the world, these economies may illustrate many similarities, as well as differences, depending on the specific example.

A fuel economy for instance, is dominated by the international demand for crude oil and gasoline, while a command economy is a market system that is heavily regulated by the government.

These articles also provide information about the open economy – where no obstruction is imposed on trade or commerce, investment or other financial activities.

Other topics are discussed in this section include the traditional economy, barter economy, bubble economy, and the service economy.

Issues that are selected for this section are related to particular economies, but at the same time these issues are also dominating the global economy. Some of these important issues include crises such as the global credit crunch, renewed fears about inflation and its effect on world economies, the downfall of the US housing market, major sporting events such as the Olympics and their economic impact, and world economies in general.

Other featured articles focus on the growth of China and India, with a special emphasis on the different challenges faced by these emerging markets.

Globalization and its impact on developing economies is also discussed in this section, while more information is contained in the country-specific sections that focus on the economic development of each country.
READ MORE - From command economies to traditional, barter, bubble and service economies, this section details numerous topics relative to various types of economi

ASEAN +3 Raise Funds Reserves Crisis

8:57 AM Diposkan oleh arfa

Overcome the crisis, Prime Minister of Thailand Abhisit Vejjajiva (middle) together with the ASEAN +3 finance ministers, including Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati (far right), on the sidelines of the meeting in Phuket, Thailand, yesterday. ASEAN +3 plan to establish an emergency reserve fund of USD120 billion.

Phuket (Sindo) - Nations of the Southeast Asia with China, Japan and South Korea (ASEAN +3) agreed the increase to the emergency reserve fund to be USD120 billion from the previous USD80 billion.

Increased funding as a form of anticipation of the possibility of ASEAN +3 financial crisis spread globally. The ASEAN +3 finance ministers said, the preparation of the fund aims to ensure regional stability and encourage confidence in the market.

"This agreement will be the finalization of the next annual meeting, May future, which will be held in Bali, Indonesia," the official statement of the ASEAN +3 finance ministers after a meeting in Phuket, Thailand, yesterday.

After the economic crisis of 1997-1998, ASEAN with China, Japan and South Korea, agreed scheme established bilateral exchange of currencies (currency swaps) in order to strengthen foreign exchange reserves in each country. This step is known as the Chiang Mai Initiative. ASEAN +3 want to improve the bilateral agreement of a multilateral.

Initially, ASEAN +3 plan establish multilateral funds worth USD80 billion. However, since the end of several years ago to create a discourse of possibility that the addition of funds to be USD120 billion.

The ministers who attended the meeting in Phuket yesterday came from Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and Vietnam. Japanese Finance Minister Kaoru Yosano can not attend, was represented only ministries of finance secretary.

Prime Minister of Thailand Abhisit Vejjajiva, said emergency reserve fund will function as a buffer countries in the ASEAN +3 crisis. During a visit to Indonesia last week, Abhisit said, the ASEAN countries that depend on export fears of protectionist countries of export.

"I hope the meeting of ASEAN countries will discuss the proposal at a meeting next sunday so we are ready to face this crisis. We will not be tempted to take advantage of all protectionist, "he added. Secretary to the Minister of Finance Thailand Suparut Kawatkul said, his side will see the increased detail emergency reserve fund.

"I hope there will be progress before the meeting formulated the ASEAN +3 finance ministers in Bali in May on the future," he said. Thailand's Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij states, meeting in Phuket will give a strong signal to the world that ASEAN is committed in a slowing economy.

"The finance ministers in all countries need to find a way to give a fundamental and effective solution as a step that is not the condition is stabilized," he said. ASEAN Secretary General Surin Pitsuwan said, long discussion on the regional area will find a way to help as a result of the worst global economic crisis that befall Asia.

"This is one of the mechanism. Although will not replace the role of the International Monetary Fund (International Monetary Fund / IMF), it will be an alternative in Asia, "Surin said.

"This will make the most significant support from ASEAN," he said. Surin added, the initial meeting was held yesterday morning local time considered as something positive because all the representatives of finance ministries of the ASEAN agreed principles increase the emergency reserve fund proposed. According to him, ASEAN countries will contribute 20% of the total funding that is agreed.

Meanwhile, three other countries, namely China, Japan and South Korea, will provide 80% of the total contribution of USD120 billion. Meanwhile, South Korea Finance Minister Yoon Jeung-Hyun says the global financial crisis this time and require strong cooperation in ASEAN.

He believes, multilateral meeting this time was the main example in the business collaboration between the countries. "Unfortunately our country is currently faced with major challenges due to weakening global economy and financial turbulensi," said Jeung-Hyun.

G-20 meeting Degree

The leaders of countries G-20 also hold a meeting yesterday to discuss efforts to overcome the global financial crisis. After the meeting, they stated that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) funds must have at least USD500 billion expansion to anticipate the impact of global financial crisis in the future.

"We decided that the international financial institutions must have the funds of which allows them not only can handle the crisis, but also able to prevent the crisis," said British Prime Minister Gordon Brown on the meeting G-20 leaders in Berlin, Germany, yesterday.

He added that the occurrence of economic crisis in eastern Europe could threaten Western Europe. This is shown with so many problems need IMF support. German chancellor Angela Merkel said the G-20 leaders agreed to support the proposal to redouble the availability of IMF funds.

"IMF should be in a position to help its members are flexible and fast if they have difficulties," the statement together with the sound of G-20.Pada meeting in Berlin yesterday, G-20 leaders also agreed the need for rules in the global financial market system.

Previous IMF has several times got a warning from the leaders of developed countries in order to increase capacity to help members, especially during the economic crisis. Years ago Gordon Brown was doing road show to Gulf countries and urge that the oil-rich countries are willing to contribute to the IMF. However, until now, Japan's new willingness of the IMF to provide funds worth USD100 billion. (AFP / Rtr / Yanto kusdiantono)
READ MORE - ASEAN +3 Raise Funds Reserves Crisis

Oil prices fall below US$126 despite drop in US crude stocks

8:35 AM Diposkan oleh arfa

BANGKOK (AP): Oil prices fell below US$126 a barrelFriday in Asia, extending a decline of more than US$4 in the previous session as a stronger dollar and falling demand outweighed a huge unexpected drop in U.S. crude oil stocks.

The U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said delays in unloading oil tankers along the Gulf Coast had led to the 8.8 million-barrel drop in crude oil inventories for the week ended May 23, and that explanation helped to lessen the impact of its report. Analysts surveyed by Platts had expected a gain of 750,000 barrels, and usually such a discrepancy would send prices soaring.

"The impact of it was lost," said David Moore, commodity strategist with the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. "Their explanation for the decline of the crude inventories really countered the impact of the actual number."

Traders instead focused on gains in the U.S. dollar, analysts said, which hit a three-month high against the yen overnight and held near 105.50 in Asia currency trading in Tokyo. And late in the day, the euro continued to sink against the dollar, dropping belowUS$1.55.

Investors who buy commodities such as oil as a hedge against inflation when the dollar is falling tend to sell when the greenback strengthens. Also, a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive to investors dealing in foreign currencies.

Late afternoon in Singapore, light, sweet crude for July delivery was down US$1.19 at US$125.43 a barrel in electronic trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange.(***)
Source: The Jakarta Post
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Obama now focusing on health care, cutting deficit

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(Source: Associated Press/AP Online) trackingBy JIM KUHNHENN and CHARLES BABINGTON

WASHINGTON - After focusing his first month on the economic mess he inherited, President Barack Obama now starts rolling out his own far-reaching agenda with a summit on fiscal policy, his first speech to Congress and the unveiling of his budget for 2010.

This coming week will mark a turning point from what Obama felt compelled to do, to what he wants to do. It also may test how much spending, change and ambition the American people and their elected officials can stomach in a short time.

On Monday, Obama will try to snap Washington's collective mind-set back to fiscal restraint, just days after signing a record-breaking spending plan to stimulate the moribund economy. His afternoon-long "fiscal responsibility summit" at the White House is bound to set off sparks.

Come Thursday, he will send Congress highlights of his budget request. One administration official says it will disclose that Obama plans to cut the federal deficit in half by the end of his first term, mostly by scaling back Iraq war spending, raising taxes on the wealthiest and streamlining government.

Liberals worry that renewed attention to long-term deficits will stall their progressive agenda, which they don't feel should suffer because of transgressions by banks, mortgage lenders and automakers. Some worry that Social Security is being unfairly lumped with Medicare's more serious financial problems, and they are determined to squelch any hints of curbing benefits in the retirement program.

Conservatives worry congressional Democrats will live up to their reputation as free-spenders who ignore calls for restraint, sending the already soaring deficit into the stratosphere.

The debate resonates, albeit less publicly, in the White House, too.

The heart of Obama's economic team - Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and chief economic adviser Lawrence Summers - are deficit-wary economists. They are now central to the tug-of-war in the administration and Congress over Obama's grand vision and his team's fiscal pragmatism.

Perhaps a bigger question is how much energy and credulity are left in a political world rocked by stunningly expensive plans to shore up Wall Street, the housing industry and auto manufacturers.

"If you are going to the country with hundreds of billions (of dollars) of fiscal stimulus, and hundreds of billions of financial-sector rescue, and now more for mortgages and more for the auto industry, it becomes very difficult for them to say, 'And now for my real agenda: Health care expansion for hundreds of billions of dollars," said Robert Bixby, executive director of the bipartisan fiscal watchdog group Concord Coalition.

"At that point the political system just chokes up," he said.

Obama is pressing on with at least two other high-profile events this week. He will describe many of his plans before a joint session of Congress on Tuesday night. On Thursday, he presents his 2010 budget highlights.

Ken Baer, a spokesman for the White House Office of Budget and Management, defended the series of initiatives.

"When the house is on fire," he said, "you can't say 'I want to take a long coffee break.'"

Discussions of health care policy will be prominent all week even though Obama has yet to announce a replacement for Tom Daschle, his first choice for health secretary. The former Senate majority leader withdrew after disclosure of income tax problems.

Obama campaigned on promises to reduce health care costs, rein in prescription drug prices, modernize medical record-keeping and improve medical treatment and efficiency.

The newly enacted $787 billion stimulus bill includes $19 billion to convert medical records to electronic forms, and $1.1 billion for research comparing which treatments work best for a particular disease.

The "comparative effectiveness" bid has stirred opposition from some Republicans and medical professionals who say it could lead to government rationing of health care.

The drug manufacturing industry is battling Obama's plan to let the government negotiate lower prescription drug prices for Medicare. The entire medical industry is warily watching his efforts to lower overall health care costs.

That effort is directly tied to the main subject of Monday's summit: addressing the long-term fiscal health of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, the nation's increasingly expensive entitlement programs. Obama has said Medicare and Medicaid cannot be fixed without curbing the costs of all U.S. medical care, for the rich, poor, old and young.

Liberal economists embrace the point. They reject the notion that the country faces a crisis in Social Security and Medicare because of an aging baby boom generation.

In congressional testimony last year, Peter Orszag, now Obama's budget director, said the demographic changes facing Social Security and the fate of then-President George W. Bush's tax cuts "pale by comparison over the long term with the impact and challenges of containing growth in the cost of federal health insurance programs."

Perhaps complicating his efforts, Obama has pledged a more honest budget process, which immediately will make the 10-year deficit look about $2.6 trillion larger than it would have otherwise. For instance, he is dropping the pretense that the government will receive huge revenues from the Alternative Minimum Tax, which everyone in Washington knows will be suspended.

"For many years, we've used tricks and gimmicks to mask the size of our irresponsibility," White House press secretary Robert Gibbs said Friday.

Facing such eye-popping deficit numbers and the massive federal spending already gushing from the stimulus and bailout bills, people may need to catch their breath and survey Obama's plans with a cooler, calmer gaze.

"A certain passage of time is going to be necessary now before the political climate catches up with the economic environment," said James Galbraith, an economist at the University of Texas at Austin. "We just made what seems to many people to be a very large investment in reviving the economy."

Nonetheless, he said, the stimulus package probably will be too small to deal with the economy's rapid decline.

"If that's the case," Galbraith said, "there will be time to move larger measures that require more imagination and more initiative."
On the Net:
White House: http://www.whitehouse.gov/agenda/
READ MORE - Obama now focusing on health care, cutting deficit

Congress Approve Economic Stimulus package Obama

1:15 AM Diposkan oleh arfa

TEMPO Interactive, Washington: Senate and House of Representatives United States agree economic package U.S. $ 787 billion. This stimulus package was President Barack Obama to restore the country's flagging economy.

Approval in two rooms with the Congress to vote on Friday (13 / 2) towards the middle of the night or Saturday (14 / 2) in Indonesia. Nearly all members of the Republic Party and Democratic Party members all support this package.

Polling in the House of Representatives, all members of the Republic of party - 176 people - refused. Seven Democrats also rejected. However, this package passes because there are 246 others who support the vote.

After the House approved, the package was brought to the Senate. There, similar to its occurrence. Although here, the three members of the Senate of the Republic of voice support so that support to 60 against 38. Two independent Senator also supports this package.

This agreement makes Obama sign to stay on Monday (16 / 2) and the budget could be disbursed.

According to the Republic, because they reject the package is different from that in campaign by Obama. Republic leaders in the House of Representatives, John A. Boehner, said that when the process started, this package is made to create new employment opportunities. But, in it, "Only contain expenditure, expenditures, and spending more."

It is cutting its own taxes, labor-intensive projects, education, health, energy, and technology. The amount is smaller than that originally proposed by Democrats.

According to the Congress Budget Office, more than 74 percent of the budget will be in kucurkan in 18 months so that will not immediately appear successfu.

READ MORE - Congress Approve Economic Stimulus package Obama

Jakarta Biennale: City Gives a Little, Takes a Little

8:22 AM Diposkan oleh arfa

Evi Mariani, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta


How much does it cost to place art at public spaces?

The committee of this year Jakarta Biennale's Battle Zone has the answer: Hundreds of millions of rupiah, dozens of official letters, several trips to the city hall and a lot of headaches.

The cost was incurred even though the event was organized by the city's own Jakarta Arts Council and was included in the city budget and program.

One of the artists commissioned for the international art event, Ari Dina Krestyawan, wanted to run text around a crossing bridge on Jl. Thamrin about the people who used the space every day. The bridge has equipment to display text for advertising.

The Battle Zone committee asked for a time slot to use the equipment for Ari's project.

"We were first told by the billboard association that the time slots were being used by [a cellular phone provider]," Ardi Yunanto, the curator for the Battle Zone, told The Jakarta Post on Monday.

"But, the city administration has some slots there. We were led to the general bureau at the administration."

Three officers and several letters later, Ardi's team got nothing except an instruction to write more letters and wait longer.

"Time was running out. It was January and the art work needed to be on display early February. Finally, I told the artist to make an audio visual simulation about what would happen if we're allowed to run the texts there," Ardi said.

Battle Zone has brought artworks to several public spaces: Menteng Park in Central Jakarta; a wall along Jl. TB Simatupang toll road in South Jakarta; several roads in East Jakarta; four billboards in Central, West, and South Jakarta; two train stations; National Monument (Monas) Park in Central Jakarta; and the space under a flyover in Tebet, South Jakarta.

"The mural along the toll road and exhibitions at train stations received permits with relative ease.

"We met with an officer of PT Kereta Api at station city [in West Jakarta] and he gave us a permit for the exhibition at city and Tanah Abang stations," Ardi said.

"The toll road operator was also quick to give us a go ahead."

For the exhibition of Daniel Kampua's work at Monas, the committee only met twice before receiving the green light. Kampua could display his photo exhibition about Monas' mobile photographers without any charge.

Menteng Park was a whole different story.

Artist Cecil Mariani planned to have three billboards at three spots in the park. The billboards would bear pictures of Persija stadium, which previously stood at the park.

After several meetings and clinching the permit, the committee was asked to pay a fee of Rp 100,000 (US$8.9) per day for each board.

"That's on top of `wisdom' money asked for by the park attendants. One of them told me, `to ease closer ties between us here and your products', they wanted Rp 200,000 per day," said Ardi. The closer ties he was talking about included fixing the position of the board should they fall, Ardi said.

He said for each set of letters, his team attached a letter from the city's tourism and cultural agency, saying the event was a city program. But he said many officials from other agencies just ignored it.

Many of them said they would were complying with a gubernatorial decree, Ardi said.

Money wise, the four billboards cost Jakarta Biennale the most. The owners of the billboard, who happened to know some committee members, let the artists use them free of charge. The advertisement tax, however, was not waived.

"For each billboard, the tax is Rp 150 million. Meaning we should pay Rp 600 million for all. But we got 80 percent discount from the city's tax agency, so we were told to pay Rp 120 million," Ade Darmawan, Jakarta Biennale's program director said.

"The city administration gave us Rp 2 billion for the whole event. Our expenses reached Rp 3 billion," he said.

He said Governor Fauzi Bowo had verbally lent his support to Jakarta Biennale, citing the need to improve the city's creative industry.

In his speech read by his assistant for people welfare to city secretary Effendi Anas during the opening of the event on Feb. 6, Fauzi mentioned the relationship between the creative industry and potential tourism.

Head of the city's tourism and cultural agency, Arie Budhiman, recognized the need to support cultural events in Jakarta to increase tourist numbers.

"We are listing international events in Jakarta which will attract tourists -Jakarta's Java Jazz, Jakarta Fashion Week, Jakarta Great Sales, Jakarta Biennale as well as Jakarta International Film Festival," he said on Wednesday.

He said he believed such events would help increase the number of tourists to the city. Thus it was reasonable, he said, for the events to receive tax exemptions for publication, for example.

"But for total exemption, we haven't got the regulation yet, so we need a new bylaw. Right now, the most we can do is give tax discounts," Arie said.

"From the top officials, we get support," Ade said. "But it should become a policy, not only verbal support.

The policy should also be translated into operational rules.

"This year, Jakarta Biennale received international attention. We welcomed several international press members here. And arts, we have potential big spenders who are willing to fly to see the event," Ade said.

"And Indonesia, given our interesting social and political history, we are the next big thing among international arts events."

READ MORE - Jakarta Biennale: City Gives a Little, Takes a Little
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